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A Great Fall Start to October, BUT August Rears Its Head by Wednesday!

Cool and Crisp This Morning, Warm and Muggy By Wednesday!

 

Today: Sunny & Pleasant High: 72 

Tonight: Clouds Increase Low: 63 

Tomorrow: Cloudy & Mild A Few Showers Through the Day  High: 73 

Good Morning, 

September was a 'slightly wetter than normal' month across much of the Northeast and across the mid-Atlantic states... However, during a month when tropical weather systems can lead to very excessive amounts of rainfall, this one didn't fit into that category... And, even though there was some spotty shower activity yesterday afternoon, it really didn't rain for more than 10 or 20 minutes in any given spot...

Because of cloud cover from time to time, afternoon temperatures this past weekend were mostly in the 60s, except there were some places in southeastern Pennsylvania, Delaware and across South Jersey that either reached or just barely surpassed the 70-degree mark...

Today, with a high pressure system in temporary control of the weather pattern, we should have a good deal of sunshine... And, although many temperatures this morning will be starting out in either the 40s or the 50s, we expect most will wind up in the lower and middle 70s this afternoon...

This ridge of high pressure will begin to drift to the east tonight and tomorrow morning... And, as a low pressure system located in the Mississippi Valley today begins to track to the north and east tomorrow, the storm system's tendency to be a "cutter", or for its track to eventually "cut up to the west of the Appalachians" tomorrow night and Wednesday will allow a warm front to push northward along the Eastern Seaboard...

So, with our surface winds becoming more southeasterly tonight and early tomorrow, we'll encounter an steady increase in cloud cover over a 10-12 hour period... This cloud cover will bring with it a few showers... Most of them will get underway after midnight tonight in areas near and not too far to the south of the Mason-Dixon Line (or, along the I-95 corridor between Philadelphia and Washington, D.C.), but the showers will probably hold off until tomorrow morning in areas located farther to the north and east...

There has been some speculation as to whether or not there will be some "steadier rain" in the mid-Atlantic states of in parts of the Northeast tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night... And, while the global models do indicate that there will be a general 0.25" to 0.50" of rain occurring across the area, this is more or less 'drawn out' over a 36-hour period starting early tomorrow and ending very late on Wednesday...

It'll be a good idea to have the rain gear handy both tomorrow and Wednesday, and with a warm and more humid air mass being pulled northward along the coastal plain, it will also be a good idea to cover for a thunderstorm or two... But, it just doesn't seem at this point that any of the rain will be hard enough to cause any flooding problems...

And, with clouds probably breaking for some sunshine on Wednesday afternoon at times (in the so-called "warm sector"), some temperatures will be making a run at 80 degrees... A cool front will be pressing northeastward along the mid-Atlantic Coast late on Wednesday, reaching southern New England on Wednesday night... Therefore, a swath of drier air should begin to spread out across the area, and plenty of sunshine will be returning on Thursday...

But, behind the so-called "cool front", there won't be a truly, crisp and cool, autumn-like feel to the air on Thursday or Friday... In fact, temperatures on Thursday will probably peak in the upper 70s and the lower 80s across the region, followed by a very slight, modest reduction on Friday... Both days will offer a decent amount of sunshine, too...

The longer range models do show a stronger cool front reaching the Northeast next weekend, which could bring a couple of showers on Saturday, and temperatures next Sunday and Monday will probably be no higher than the mid or upper 60s. 

Have a good day!!!

This post is contributed by a community member. The views expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Patch Media Corporation. Everyone is welcome to submit a post to Patch. If you'd like to post a blog, go here to get started.

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