Today: Sun & Clouds Gusty NW Wind 25mph, Gusts to 35mph; 1st Pitch Temp at the Stadium at 5 pm 58 Degrees with a NW Wind 25mph gusts.
Tonight: Clear and Chilly Low: 39 City; 30 in the suburbs with a freeze warning for suburbs 1am to 9am Saturday. Bring the pets and plants indoors!
Tomorrow: Sunny & Cool High: 58
Sunday: Sunny & Warmer High: 70
Well here comes the next cold front to the region and with that we may have a few clouds grace the region, but we are looking at dry frontal passage this morning with plenty of sunshine returning for the midday and afternoon. Some of the models are showing a shower or two across the Hudson Valley into the Capitol District, but we'll probably stay dry here in New York City.
After the front moves through the 850's drop nicely from around +4 at 12z to nearly -5 at 00z. And that will determine how much recovery occurs before temperatures fall later this afternoon. It will take just about everything the atmosphere can give to reach the 60 degrees we have in the forecast. I could easily see it fall short and certainly if it hasn't reached that point by 2pm we will fall short. Winds today will also be quite gusty at times with 850 winds mixing down to the surface. Some gusts past 30 mph will be possible.
The high pressure behind this boundary will build over the area tonight then slide off shore during the day tomorrow. So temperatures will drop off nicely through the overnight hours and winds should drop off as well. We have a low of 40 (30s, even 20s for the far northwest suburbs) at this point that'd be the coldest it's been since last April.
Tomorrow as the moves eastward a storm in the Plains will be gathering strength and the warm front from that system will spread rain into western New York later in the day, then eastward through the rest of the state early tomorrow night. It will skirt very closely to the city, and we should probably mention a shower in the mix through the evening hours, then the warm front will lift to the north and we'll wait for the front to arrive on Monday. In the meantime it'll be warm on Sunday with a mixture of clouds and sunshine being in the warm sector.
Then as mentioned the cold front will move through on Monday with a shower along it. The latest GFS is showing a wave developing along this boundary that could hold up the front from cleanly moving through the area. In fact it's showing an area of rain developing Monday night before finally exiting eastward. Also there could be a slowing of the front as Tropical Storm Patty moves northward.
Either way both the GFS and EURO are showing dry weather on Tuesday. High pressure on Wednesday will lead to a quiet day with plenty of sunshine. Thursday will probably remain dry with the approach of another storm system staying just to the west though we'll increase the clouds ahead of it.
Have a great weekend!