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It's A Very Mild Friday! The Weekend Will Be Very Cold!

Big Weather Changes for the Weekend!

 

Today: Sunshine and Mild  High: 58

Tonight: Cloudy with a Passing Shower  Low: 40

Saturday: Windy & Colder  High: 46  Feels Like 30s!

Sunday: Brisk & Cold  High: 43

Good Morning,

On this "Black Friday", the morning is getting off to a relatively quiet start (not necessarily near any of the retail outlets, but that's a different story)... Under a clear sky, the temperature overnight has dropped to levels near 40 in most of the larger cities... However, some outlying areas are within a few degrees of the freezing mark as of this writing... So, in a similar setup that we encountered yesterday, predawn temperatures will be ranging anywhere from the upper 20s in the coldest spots to the lower 40s in most urban centers... We'll have to keep an eye out for fog, which has shown up in portions of Connecticut and in South Jersey... In those areas where the temperature is below freezing, we can't rule out the possibility of a few slick spots, mainly on bridges and highway overpasses... But as the morning continues to unfold, most places will have a fair amount of sunshine for at least a few hours, and that should allow most temperatures to climb into the upper 50s this afternoon... There should even be a few spots that hit 60 degrees, but these will probably be limited to southeastern Pennsylvania, interior parts of southern New Jersey, Delaware and Maryland...

The next cold front that is poised to reach the Northeast and the mid-Atlantic states tonight will bring with it nothing more than a passing shower... As of 3 a.m. - a corridor of showers associated with the cold front were occurring in southeastern Michigan... We've been mentioning the past couple of days that the various global models aren't nearly as impressed with precipitation (most are just printing out a hundredth of an inch of liquid, or nothing at all) as they are with the ideas that tomorrow will be windy and noticeably colder...

And, while temperatures in the mid 40s in late November are certainly not "unheard of", most will average 10-12 degrees lower than today's... The wind will make it "feel like" its in the 30s much of the time, and that will just serve to enhance the chill... Winds gusting as high as 30 or even 35 mph will be common in areas east of the Appalachians tomorrow afternoon... Sunday and Monday should be dry days around here, with Sunday being the chillier of the two (most highs in the lower or middle 40s)...

The next item of interest involves Tuesday, Tuesday night and Wednesday... Undoubtedly, the domestic models and even the Canadian/GGEM have been consistent when it comes to developing a new wave of low pressure early next week in the southern Tier of states... But, the European continues to play the role of "outlier" -- yesterday, it indicated a very weak, 'flat' wave that was forecasted to slide across Virginia and the Carolinas... Early today, this same model doesn't even show that! For now, we'll preserve our forecast continuity (leaning more towards the domestic forms of guidance, allowing for some rain in many areas Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night) until we see more of a consensus being built, the forecast could remain the same for the next two or three days, or we may back away from the idea that there will be some rain altogether...

Have a good weekend!

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